This week, in module 2, we will introduce you to scenarios, which are built from the drivers you learned about in the previous module. In Module 1, you identified signals of how the future might be different and learned how to separate signal from noise to identify drivers of change. Scenarios help you create multiple plausible futures and catch them in stories and images. These stories inform long term decision making. Let's unleash our creativity and explore how those drivers combine in non-linear and complex ways to create narratives and scenarios for very different futures.

In this module you will learn how to develop -and use- scenarios as a way to make futures tangible. As mentioned, we need to limit the amount of scenarios to make our foresight project manageable. By putting two drivers, selected through the approach from previous chapter in a scenario cross, we can create a spectrum of four plausible futures as a basis for strategic conversations. We will demonstrate and test with you how scenario narratives can become a catalyst for impactful strategies.

Having learned how to craft compelling narratives of the future, you will now turn to strategize based on these future scenarios. You will come up with strategies that are different from your current one and different to the status quo. These are known as distant strategies. They form part of a portfolio of actions to help us balance performance and robustness. We will look at how scenarios can help you determine your Massive Transformation Purpose, a “why” to commit to. This helps you look at “what” actions we can take and “how” you will achieve them. The strategy playbox will provide you with a mechanism to systematically explore what is possible within current constraints.

In the two previous modules we focused on the practice of foresight. We were introduced to the Scenario Sprint method and learnt how scenarios help us to co-create compelling narratives that support strategy and decision making. This week, you will learn how to make foresight part of your everyday life, as an individual or in an organization. Module five will present you with materials and arguments to support the case for investing in foresight, and will provide you with the necessary information to scale the competency to identify, interpret and act on signals of change.

Now you have reached the end of the course. The only thing left is the final quiz! Here you will test your knowledge with 30 questions. Good luck.